Презентация Future Strategic Issues онлайн
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- Всего слайдов:48 слайдов
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Слайды и текст к этой презентации:
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Содержание слайда: Utilization/Application of 2025+ Projections
Inputs to Future Warfighting Concepts Development(s) (Enemy After Next & Blue)
Inputs to New Procurement Decision (15+ years to Produce, 40+ years in Inventory
“Heads Up” for Intel Community (“Watches and Warnings”)
Inputs to DOD R&D Planning
№5 слайд
Содержание слайда: “Going In” Assumptions
Politics can/does change “overnight” (e.g. Russia, Iran, Iraq, Pakistan, etc.), Potential CAPABILITIES is the future warfare issue, not Who but WHAT
Order of 10+ years required to develop/field new systems, in inventory for 30+ years, should be designed for middle of inventory period, hence 2025 time period
№6 слайд
Содержание слайда: CURRENTLY
Order of 70% of Worlds Research conducted outside of U.S. (to first order,
a % of GDP, U.S. produces order of 18% of worlds GDP)
Order of 70% of U.S. Research now “Commercial” (as opposed to Government sponsored)
№7 слайд
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№8 слайд
Содержание слайда: Hunter-Gatherer - “Nature Provided”
Hunter-Gatherer - “Nature Provided”
Agriculture - Controlled Nature (Plants/Animals)
Industrial - Mechanized Agriculture
IT/BIO/Nano - Automating Industry/Agriculture
Virtual - Robotization of IT/Bio/Nano/Industry/Agriculture
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Содержание слайда: IT Status
10E6 improvements in Computing since ‘59, 10E8 further possible next 30 years
(10E3 provides “better than Human” capabilities)
100 Million Telecommuters Worldwide NOW (expected to at least double in 15 years)
India graduates three times more software engineers than the U.S., More software written in Bangalore than Southern CA
IW effectively constitutes a 4th WMD
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Содержание слайда: Advantages of Shallow Sea/Desert Production of Biomass (Via Seawater Irrigation)
Closed CO2 Cycle (Obviates Global Warming)
Food
Petro-chemical feedstock
Materials/clothing, etc.
ENERGY (end reliance on Middle East)
Terraforming, alter desertification etc.
Preservation/Production of Fresh Water
Rich Mineral source (Seawater)
Utilization of “Wastelands” (Sahara, etc.)
№17 слайд
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№18 слайд
Содержание слайда: Free Form Fabrication
Powder/Wire Metallurgy using robotic magnetically steered electron beams to create accreting local melts - GROW instead of CUT
No fasteners, no strong backs for fasteners
Nearly infinite fatigue life, excellent metallurgy
(Repairable) metals at lower weight than far more expensive composites
№19 слайд
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№20 слайд
Содержание слайда: (Sample) New(er) Sensors
Lidar w/ 50% efficiency via S-C optical Amplifiers, Also Fempto-second Lasers
Molec./Bio Sensors
Nanotags
Smart Card Sensors
Sensors implanted during Manuf./Servicing
Nano IR (10E-6 Sensitivity)
Smart Dust
№21 слайд
Содержание слайда: Some Sensor “Swarms”
SMART DUST
Cubic mm or less
Combined sensors, comms and power supply
Floats in air currents for up to 2 years
NANOTAGS
Placed on everything/everywhere
Identification and Status Info
Co-opted INSECTS
№22 слайд
Содержание слайда: “Givens” (Now-to-“Soon”)
Gb data transfer rates, optical comms
Terraflop-to-petaflop computing
Exceptional AI (from Bioinfomatics, biomimetics)
Wonderous/Ubiquitous land/sea/air/space multiphysics/hyperspectral sensor swarms (military/commercial/scientific)
Survival requires dispersion/size reduction and concealment
Robotic/swarm technologies primarily commercial/endemic worldwide
№23 слайд
Содержание слайда: (Agreed Upon)
Assumption, Combat in 2025
Proliferation of TBM’s, IT, Precision strike/targeting, ubiquitous micro sensors, camo/spoofing, robotics, bio/chem munitions
Logistic assets highly vulnerable in or out of theater
In and near theater ports/airfields possibly unusable
Beam weapons increasingly prevalent
№24 слайд
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Содержание слайда: Some Interesting “Then Year”
BW Possibilities
Aflatoxin - (“natural,” parts-per-billion, carcinogen)
Airborne varieties of Ebola, Lassa, etc.
Binary agents distributed via imported products (Vitamins, Clothing, Food)
Genomicaly (individual/societal) targeted pathogens
Long term/fingerprintless campaign (as opposed to “shock and awe” BW)
№26 слайд
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№27 слайд
Содержание слайда: “Slingatron” for Global
Precision Strike
10Kg projectiles, up to thousands/minute
Global, or less, range
$20M/device
Mechanical “on-the-ground” propulsion via Gyrating Spiral Guide Tube (a multiple “hula hoop”
“Poor Mans” Global Precision Strike/“Takedown Weapon”
№28 слайд
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Содержание слайда: Potential Future “Orders of Magnitude” Increases in Overall Weapon Effectiveness/Availability at Orders of Magnitude Reduced Cost(s)
Bio/Chem/Molec./Nano Computing - (E6)
Ubiquitous Optical Comms - (E4)
Micro/Nano/Ubiquitous Sensors - (E4)
BioWeaponry - (EN)
Co-operative Swarms of Cheap/Small Weapons/Sensors - (E4)
Volumetric Weaponry - (E4)
Cyber/Artificial Life (Beyond AI) - (E?)
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Содержание слайда: THE INSHORE DETECTION
VULNERABILITIES (+ ACTIVE)
ACOUSTICS
Visual, lidar, IR, bio-lum, turbidity
Press. pertub. effects on water column chem.,
H2 bubbles, salinity, chem. releases
Internal waves/surface waves--surfactant layer mods, in situ turb./wakes, atmos. mods
Magnetics, coms, periscope/radar, neutron flux
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№35 слайд
Содержание слайда: An ALTERNATIVE?
“A Spherical Submarine”
Obviate wave drag via submergence
Optimal structural configuration
Optimal (Goldschmeid) Propulsion Integration
Minimal wetted area/volume (large radius)
Onboard Polymer plant for TDR
Minimal Interference & “controls” drag (thrust vectoring)
№36 слайд
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Содержание слайда: Given the Superb/Ubiquitous World
Wide Sensor Suites and Precision
Strike Capabilities “Then Year” the Following WILL NOT BE SURVIVABLE
APODS/SPODS
Runways
Surface Ships
Manned (logistic/combat) Aircraft
Manned (logistic/combat) Ground Vehicles
№41 слайд
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№42 слайд
Содержание слайда: “Circa 2025”
Machines as creative/“smart” as humans “Robotics” the “norm”
Zeroth order “warstopper” - Binary bio into nation’s agric./food distrib. system (every home/fox hole)
Next level of concern: Ubiquitous/Cheap micro-to-nano EVERYTHING (sensors, munitions, weapons swarms/hordes)
Battlefield attrition/CNN syndrome forces
U.S. Army to look/act like SOCOM
№43 слайд
Содержание слайда: (Suggested) Major U.S. Future
(2025) Warfare Issues
CONUS Defense (Requirement(s) for, potential approaches)
Logistics Defense/Protection (in/out of theater)
Survivability/Effectiveness of U.S. Forces on/near the “Killing Ground” in an era of affordable ubiquitous multiphysics hyperspectral sensors, precision strike, volumetric weaponry, “swarms” and hardened munitions
№44 слайд
Содержание слайда: “Non-explosive Warfare” (psywar, biowar IT/net war, “anti-operability war,” Beam weaponry including RF, Spoofing/Cammo
“Non-explosive Warfare” (psywar, biowar IT/net war, “anti-operability war,” Beam weaponry including RF, Spoofing/Cammo
Robotic Warfare “in the large”/better than human AI/“Cyber life”
Alternative Power Projection Approaches (e.g. Deep Water depth/death sphere, blast wave accelerator, etc.)
№45 слайд
Содержание слайда: Future “Power Projection”?
Humans “hold” instead of “take” ground (go in after “Sanitization”)
Sanitization via:
IW/Psywar
Global Reach “Guns” (BWA/Slingatron)
Deep water/large loadout Subs w/“swimins”
“Robotic Everything” w/Volumetric weaponry non-explosive warfare
№46 слайд
Содержание слайда: Changing Nature of Warfare
№47 слайд
Содержание слайда: RMA Planning “Shortfalls”
(NPS)
“Indications of the innovative paths adversaries might take or how they might adapt technologies from the civilian world”
(Being worked in the “Technical War Games”)
“The path from todays systems and capabilities to those hypothesized for the future (2020+)”
№48 слайд
Содержание слайда: What is needed is a “Then Year” (~2030)
Serious/Holistic Vision of Warfare Changes
Resulting from the On-going
IT/Bio/Nano/Virtual Technological Revolutions
Such does not exist, “bumper sticker” attempts extant.
All are agreed, warfare will become increasingly robotic and probably more affordable, swarms of sensors/shooters are a given.
A longer term “Vision” of these changes would enable “mapping” from the present, NOT AT ALL CLEAR HOW TO “Get There From Here” as do not know where “there” is!
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